Scientific deep-dive

GLP-1 Weight-Loss Trial Results: The Complete Database (STEP, SURMOUNT & Every Major Trial)

The complete, sourced results database of the major FDA-approved GLP-1 and incretin clinical trials — semaglutide (STEP, SELECT, FLOW, ESSENCE), tirzepatide (SURMOUNT, SURMOUNT-OSA, SUMMIT), orforglipron (ATTAIN), and liraglutide (SCALE) — with weight loss, N, duration, and primary endpoints, every number verified against its PubMed record.

By Eli Marsden · Founding Editor
Editorially reviewed & fact-checked against primary sources · How we verify contentLast reviewed
10 min read·27 citations

This is the single reference table for the major GLP-1 and incretin clinical trials — the pivotal weight-loss trials plus the organ-outcome trials (heart, kidney, liver, sleep apnea, knee) for the FDA-approved drugs: semaglutide (Wegovy, Ozempic, Rybelsus), tirzepatide (Zepbound, Mounjaro), orforglipron (Foundayo), and liraglutide (Saxenda). Every row is sourced to its primary peer-reviewed publication, listed in the References. Investigational drugs (retatrutide, CagriSema, MariTide, survodutide) are tracked separately on our GLP-1 pipeline tracker. Read the caveats below before comparing numbers across trials.

How to read this database

  • Do not rank drugs by these numbers alone. Trials differ in population, dose, duration, and statistical estimand. Only head-to-head trials (STEP 8, SURMOUNT-5, SURPASS-2) compare two drugs directly.
  • Estimand matters. We report each trial's headline (treatment-policy / intention-to-treat) figure for comparability; the "efficacy estimand" (on-treatment) figure a trial also reports is usually a point or two higher. Individual deep-dives may cite the efficacy estimand.
  • Withdrawal-design trials read differently. STEP 4, SURMOUNT-3, and SURMOUNT-4 randomize people who already lost weight to continue the drug or switch to placebo — so the result is "continued loss vs weight regained," not a simple placebo-subtracted number.
  • Some results are interim or earlier-phase. ESSENCE is a pre-planned 72-week interim of an ongoing trial; SYNERGY-NASH is a phase 2 study. Both are flagged in the table.
  • Dose and brand nuances are preserved. FLOW used the 1.0 mg (Ozempic) dose, not the 2.4 mg obesity dose; SELECT's "20%" is a relative risk reduction (hazard ratio 0.80), not 20 percentage points.

Semaglutide (Wegovy / Ozempic / Rybelsus) — weight-loss trials

Semaglutide pivotal weight-loss trials. Weight loss = top dose vs placebo unless a head-to-head. Sourced to the References.
TrialPopulationNDurationWeight loss (top dose vs placebo)Year
STEP 1Obesity, no diabetes1,96168 wk−14.9% vs −2.4%2021
STEP 2Overweight/obesity + type 2 diabetes1,21068 wk−9.6% vs −3.4%2021
STEP 3Obesity + intensive behavioral therapy61168 wk−16.0% vs −5.7%2021
STEP 4Obesity; withdrawal after 20-wk run-in80368 wkContinued −7.9% vs +6.9% regained2021
STEP 5Obesity, no diabetes (2-year)304104 wk−15.2% vs −2.6%2022
STEP 8Obesity; semaglutide vs liraglutide33868 wkSema −15.8% vs lira −6.4%2022
OASIS 1 (oral sema 50 mg)Obesity, no diabetes66768 wk−15.1% vs −2.4%2023

The STEP program is the backbone of semaglutide's obesity approval — see our week-by-week results timeline, and compare vetted semaglutide providers. STEP 4[4] is the key "what happens when you stop" trial: people regained about 7% after switching to placebo.

Tirzepatide (Zepbound / Mounjaro) — weight-loss trials

Tirzepatide pivotal weight-loss trials. Weight loss = top 15 mg dose vs placebo unless a head-to-head. Sourced to the References.
TrialPopulationNDurationWeight loss (top dose vs placebo)Year
SURMOUNT-1Obesity, no diabetes2,53972 wk−20.9% vs −3.1%2022
SURMOUNT-2Obesity + type 2 diabetes93872 wk−14.7% vs −3.2%2023
SURMOUNT-3Obesity; after 12-wk lifestyle lead-in57972 wkAdditional −18.4% vs +2.5% regained2023
SURMOUNT-4Obesity; withdrawal after 36-wk lead-in670wk 36→88Continued −5.5% vs +14.0% regained (total −25.3%)2024
SURMOUNT-5Obesity; tirzepatide vs semaglutide75172 wkTirz −20.2% vs sema −13.7%2025

SURMOUNT-5[12] is the direct head-to-head: tirzepatide beat semaglutide (−20.2% vs −13.7%) — full head-to-head breakdown, tirzepatide results timeline, and vetted tirzepatide providers.

Oral orforglipron & liraglutide — weight-loss trials

Orforglipron (the first no-restriction oral GLP-1) and liraglutide. Sourced to the References.
TrialDrugPopulationNDurationWeight loss (top dose vs placebo)Year
ATTAIN-1Orforglipron (Foundayo), oralObesity, no diabetes3,12772 wk−11.2% (36 mg) vs −2.1%2025
ATTAIN-2Orforglipron (Foundayo), oralObesity + type 2 diabetes1,61372 wk−9.6% (36 mg) vs −2.5%2025
SCALELiraglutide 3.0 mg (Saxenda)Obesity ± prediabetes3,73156 wk−8.0% vs −2.6%2015

Orforglipron (Foundayo) is the first oral GLP-1 with no food-or-water timing rules — the ATTAIN obesity evidence, its FDA approval, and oral-GLP-1 providers. Liraglutide (SCALE) is the older daily injectable it and the weekly drugs now outperform.

Organ-outcome & indication trials (heart, kidney, liver, sleep apnea, knee, diabetes)

The trials behind GLP-1s' non-weight-loss indications and outcomes. Primary endpoint result shown. Sourced to the References.
TrialDrugIndicationNDurationPrimary resultYear
SELECTSemaglutide 2.4 mgCVD, no diabetes17,604~3.3 yr3-pt MACE HR 0.80 (20% risk reduction), 6.5% vs 8.0%2023
SURPASS-2Tirzepatide vs sema 1 mgType 2 diabetes1,87940 wkHbA1c −2.30 vs −1.86 (superior); −5.5 kg more weight2021
FLOWSemaglutide 1.0 mgType 2 diabetes + CKD3,5333.4 yrKidney composite HR 0.76 (24% reduction)2024
ESSENCESemaglutide 2.4 mgMASH (fibrosis F2–F3)800 (interim)72-wk interimMASH resolution 62.9% vs 34.3%2025
SYNERGY-NASH (phase 2)TirzepatideMASH (fibrosis F2–F3)19052 wkMASH resolution 62% (15 mg) vs 10%2024
STEP-HFpEFSemaglutide 2.4 mgHeart failure (HFpEF) + obesity52952 wkKCCQ symptom score +16.6 vs +8.7; weight −13.3%2023
SUMMITTirzepatideHeart failure (HFpEF) + obesity731~104 wkCV death / worsening HF HR 0.62, 9.9% vs 15.3%2025
SURMOUNT-OSATirzepatideModerate–severe sleep apnea + obesity46952 wkAHI −25.3 / −29.3 events/hr vs placebo2024
STEP 9Semaglutide 2.4 mgObesity + knee osteoarthritis40768 wkWOMAC pain −41.7 vs −27.5; weight −13.7%2024
SUSTAIN-6Semaglutide s.c.Type 2 diabetes, high CV risk3,297104 wkMACE HR 0.74 (superiority)2016
PIONEER 6Oral semaglutideType 2 diabetes, high CV risk3,183~16 moMACE HR 0.79 (noninferior)2019
ACHIEVE-1Orforglipron (oral)Early type 2 diabetes55940 wkHbA1c −1.48 vs −0.41; weight −7.6%2025

What the trials actually show

On weight, tirzepatide leads. SURMOUNT-1[8] delivered ~20.9% and the head-to-head SURMOUNT-5[12] confirmed it beats semaglutide (STEP 1[1], ~14.9%). Oral orforglipron (~11%) trades some magnitude for pill convenience. Beyond weight, the organ story is now the strongest part of the class: semaglutide cut cardiovascular events in SELECT[16], slowed kidney disease in FLOW[18], resolved MASH in ESSENCE[19], and tirzepatide treats obstructive sleep apnea and heart failure. The withdrawal trials (STEP 4[4], SURMOUNT-4) are the honest warning: stop the drug and much of the weight comes back — see what the trials show on side effects, and the pipeline and latest quarterly readouts for what is coming next.

How we built and verified this database. Every trial's headline number was cross-checked against the primary publication's abstract, and all 27 PubMed IDs were verified live via NCBI esummary (title, journal, and year confirmed) — no PMID is hand-cited or constructed. Verified July 2026. Cross-trial comparisons remain unreliable by design; use the References to read any trial in full.

Frequently Asked Questions

References

  1. 1.Wilding JPH, et al. Once-Weekly Semaglutide in Adults with Overweight or Obesity (STEP 1). N Engl J Med. 2021. PMID: 33567185.
  2. 2.Davies M, et al. Semaglutide 2.4 mg once a week in adults with overweight or obesity, and type 2 diabetes (STEP 2). Lancet. 2021. PMID: 33667417.
  3. 3.Wadden TA, et al. Effect of Subcutaneous Semaglutide vs Placebo as an Adjunct to Intensive Behavioral Therapy (STEP 3). JAMA. 2021. PMID: 33625476.
  4. 4.Rubino D, et al. Effect of Continued Weekly Subcutaneous Semaglutide vs Placebo on Weight Loss Maintenance (STEP 4). JAMA. 2021. PMID: 33755728.
  5. 5.Garvey WT, et al. Two-year effects of semaglutide in adults with overweight or obesity (STEP 5). Nat Med. 2022. PMID: 36216945.
  6. 6.Rubino DM, et al. Effect of Weekly Subcutaneous Semaglutide vs Daily Liraglutide on Body Weight (STEP 8). JAMA. 2022. PMID: 35015037.
  7. 7.Knop FK, et al. Oral semaglutide 50 mg once per day in adults with overweight or obesity (OASIS 1). Lancet. 2023. PMID: 37385278.
  8. 8.Jastreboff AM, et al. Tirzepatide Once Weekly for the Treatment of Obesity (SURMOUNT-1). N Engl J Med. 2022. PMID: 35658024.
  9. 9.Garvey WT, et al. Tirzepatide once weekly for the treatment of obesity in people with type 2 diabetes (SURMOUNT-2). Lancet. 2023. PMID: 37385275.
  10. 10.Wadden TA, et al. Tirzepatide after intensive lifestyle intervention in adults with overweight or obesity (SURMOUNT-3). Nat Med. 2023. PMID: 37840095.
  11. 11.Aronne LJ, et al. Continued Treatment With Tirzepatide for Maintenance of Weight Reduction (SURMOUNT-4). JAMA. 2024. PMID: 38078870.
  12. 12.Aronne LJ, et al. Tirzepatide as Compared with Semaglutide for the Treatment of Obesity (SURMOUNT-5). N Engl J Med. 2025. PMID: 40353578.
  13. 13.Wharton S, et al. Orforglipron, an Oral Small-Molecule GLP-1 Receptor Agonist for Obesity Treatment (ATTAIN-1). N Engl J Med. 2025. PMID: 40960239.
  14. 14.Horn DB, et al. Orforglipron for obesity in people with type 2 diabetes (ATTAIN-2). Lancet. 2026. PMID: 41275875.
  15. 15.Pi-Sunyer X, et al. A Randomized, Controlled Trial of 3.0 mg of Liraglutide in Weight Management (SCALE). N Engl J Med. 2015. PMID: 26132939.
  16. 16.Lincoff AM, et al. Semaglutide and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Obesity without Diabetes (SELECT). N Engl J Med. 2023. PMID: 37952131.
  17. 17.Frías JP, et al. Tirzepatide versus Semaglutide Once Weekly in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes (SURPASS-2). N Engl J Med. 2021. PMID: 34170647.
  18. 18.Perkovic V, et al. Effects of Semaglutide on Chronic Kidney Disease in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes (FLOW). N Engl J Med. 2024. PMID: 38785209.
  19. 19.Sanyal AJ, et al. Phase 3 Trial of Semaglutide in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis (ESSENCE). N Engl J Med. 2025. PMID: 40305708.
  20. 20.Loomba R, et al. Tirzepatide for MASH with Liver Fibrosis (SYNERGY-NASH, phase 2). N Engl J Med. 2024. PMID: 38856224.
  21. 21.Kosiborod MN, et al. Semaglutide in Patients with Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction and Obesity (STEP-HFpEF). N Engl J Med. 2023. PMID: 37622681.
  22. 22.Packer M, et al. Tirzepatide for Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction and Obesity (SUMMIT). N Engl J Med. 2025. PMID: 39555826.
  23. 23.Malhotra A, et al. Tirzepatide for the Treatment of Obstructive Sleep Apnea and Obesity (SURMOUNT-OSA). N Engl J Med. 2024. PMID: 38912654.
  24. 24.Bliddal H, et al. Once-Weekly Semaglutide in Persons with Obesity and Knee Osteoarthritis (STEP 9). N Engl J Med. 2024. PMID: 39476339.
  25. 25.Marso SP, et al. Semaglutide and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes (SUSTAIN-6). N Engl J Med. 2016. PMID: 27633186.
  26. 26.Husain M, et al. Oral Semaglutide and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes (PIONEER 6). N Engl J Med. 2019. PMID: 31185157.
  27. 27.Rosenstock J, et al. Orforglipron, an Oral Small-Molecule GLP-1 Receptor Agonist, in Early Type 2 Diabetes (ACHIEVE-1). N Engl J Med. 2025. PMID: 40544435.

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