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SURMOUNT-2 deep dive: tirzepatide 10/15 mg in obesity plus type 2 diabetes

Last verified 2026-05-28 · 3 · Completed; primary results reported (Garvey 2023, Lancet) · NCT04657003

By Eli Marsden · Founding Editor
Editorially reviewed & fact-checked against primary sources · How we verify contentLast reviewed

SURMOUNT-2 is the registrational phase-3 trial that established tirzepatide's weight-loss efficacy in adults with obesity who also have type 2 diabetes — the population deliberately excluded from SURMOUNT-1. Eli Lilly randomized 938 adults across seven countries with BMI of 27 kg/m² or higher and HbA1c between 7% and 10% to once-weekly subcutaneous tirzepatide 10 mg, 15 mg, or matching placebo, on top of monthly lifestyle counseling, for 72 weeks. Results published by Garvey and colleagues in The Lancet on July 8, 2023 (PMID 37385275) showed mean weight reductions of 12.8% on tirzepatide 10 mg and 14.7% on 15 mg versus 3.2% on placebo, paired with HbA1c drops above 2 percentage points. The trial is the obesity-plus-T2D companion to SURMOUNT-1 and the parallel to STEP-2 for semaglutide.

Enrollment
938
Duration
72 weeks of treatment with a 20-week dose-escalation phase, followed by a 4-week safety follow-up
Drug
Tirzepatide
Population
Adults aged 18 or older with a body-mass index of at least 27 kg/m², type 2 diabetes with HbA1c between 7% and 10% (53-86 mmol/mol), and a stable diabetes regimen (diet plus exercise, or up to three oral antihyperglycemic agents) for at least 3 months before screening. Insulin users were excluded. Mean baseline body weight was 100.7 kg, mean BMI 36.1 kg/m², mean HbA1c 8.02%, mean age 54.2 years, 51% female, 76% white, 60% Hispanic/Latino, and mean duration of diabetes about 8.5 years.

Primary endpoint

Percent change in body weight at week 72 (coprimary, treatment-regimen estimand)

Treatment arm

10 mg: -12.8% (SE 0.6); 15 mg: -14.7% (SE 0.5)

Comparator

-3.2% (SE 0.5)

Treatment difference: Placebo-subtracted -9.6 percentage points at 10 mg (95% CI -11.1 to -8.1) and -11.6 percentage points at 15 mg (95% CI -13.0 to -10.1); P<0.0001 for both

The 15-mg arm produced roughly the same absolute weight loss seen in non-diabetic adults on semaglutide 2.4 mg in STEP-1 (-14.9%), confirming that meaningful obesity-grade weight loss is achievable on tirzepatide despite the well-documented blunting of GLP-1 weight effects in type 2 diabetes.

Secondary endpoints

EndpointTreatmentComparatorDifference
Proportion achieving ≥5% body-weight reduction at week 72 (coprimary)

More than four of five tirzepatide participants reached the conventional clinical threshold for meaningful weight loss despite concurrent T2D.

10 mg: 81.6%; 15 mg: 86.4%30.6%Odds ratio favored both tirzepatide doses; P<0.0001
Proportion achieving ≥10% body-weight reduction at week 72

Roughly two-thirds of participants on either tirzepatide dose hit ≥10%, a threshold typically associated with regression of fatty-liver disease and meaningful cardiometabolic improvement.

10 mg: 63.4%; 15 mg: 69.6%8.7%P<0.0001 for both doses
Proportion achieving ≥15% body-weight reduction at week 72

Over half of 15-mg participants reached a magnitude long associated only with bariatric surgery — and did so with T2D on board.

10 mg: 41.4%; 15 mg: 51.8%2.6%P<0.0001 for both doses
Proportion achieving ≥20% body-weight reduction at week 7210 mg: 23.0%; 15 mg: 34.0%1.0%P<0.0001 for both doses
HbA1c change from baseline at week 72 (percentage points)

From a mean baseline HbA1c of 8.02%, both tirzepatide doses brought participants into the mid-5% range on average — the largest A1c reduction reported in any phase-3 obesity-plus-T2D trial.

10 mg: -2.14; 15 mg: -2.22-0.16Placebo-subtracted -1.98 percentage points at 10 mg and -2.06 at 15 mg
Proportion achieving HbA1c <7% at week 72

Roughly nine of ten tirzepatide participants reached the standard ADA glycemic goal — versus fewer than three in ten on placebo plus lifestyle.

10 mg: 90.0%; 15 mg: 90.7%29.3%P<0.0001 for both doses
Change in waist circumference at week 72 (cm)10 mg: -11.2 cm; 15 mg: -13.8 cm-3.4 cmPlacebo-subtracted -7.8 cm at 10 mg and -10.4 cm at 15 mg
Change in fasting serum glucose at week 72 (mg/dL)10 mg: -49.2 mg/dL; 15 mg: -51.7 mg/dL-2.4 mg/dLPlacebo-subtracted -46.8 mg/dL at 10 mg and -49.3 mg/dL at 15 mg
Change in systolic blood pressure at week 72 (pooled tirzepatide doses, mmHg)

Magnitude comparable to a low-dose antihypertensive added to standard care.

-7.2 mmHg-1.0 mmHgPlacebo-subtracted -6.2 mmHg
Percent change in triglycerides at week 72 (pooled tirzepatide doses)-28.6%-5.8%Placebo-subtracted -22.8 percentage points
Percent change in HDL cholesterol at week 72 (pooled tirzepatide doses)+8.2%+1.1%
Percent change in LDL cholesterol at week 72 (pooled tirzepatide doses)

Smaller LDL rise on tirzepatide than placebo; both arms saw modest increases.

+2.7%+6.3%

Adverse events

EventTreatment rateComparator rate
Gastrointestinal disorders (any)

Per Garvey 2023, gastrointestinal events were mostly mild to moderate; clustered during the 20-week dose-escalation phase.

10 mg and 15 mg pooled: most-common AE class; nausea, diarrhea, and vomiting predominatedSubstantially lower on placebo
Discontinuation of study drug due to adverse events

Per the publication, few events led to treatment discontinuation despite the GI burden.

Under 5% across both tirzepatide armsSimilar low rate on placebo
Serious adverse events (any)

No concentration in any single organ system; SAE rates broadly similar across arms per the ClinicalTrials.gov posting.

10 mg: 5.8% (18/312); 15 mg: 8.7% (27/311)7.3% (23/315)
Acute pancreatitis (adjudicated)

Numerically more on 15 mg but rare in absolute terms; consistent with the GLP-1 / dual-incretin class signal.

10 mg: 0 events; 15 mg: 2 events0 events
Acute cholecystitis / gallbladder events

Rates broadly balanced; cholelithiasis is a known consequence of rapid weight loss.

15 mg: 2 events2 events
Clinically significant hypoglycemia (glucose <54 mg/dL)

Hypoglycemia was infrequent in SURMOUNT-2 because insulin and sulfonylurea users were excluded; per the publication no severe (level 3) hypoglycemia was observed.

Rare across both tirzepatide dosesRare on placebo
Deaths

Both deaths in the 10-mg arm were adjudicated as unrelated to study drug per Garvey 2023.

10 mg: 2; 15 mg: 00

Subgroup analyses

  • Baseline HbA1c category (lower vs higher): Both weight loss and HbA1c reduction were consistent across baseline glycemic strata; participants with higher baseline A1c had larger absolute A1c drops

    No significant treatment-by-subgroup interaction in the prespecified analyses.

  • Sex (female 51% vs male 49%): Similar relative weight loss in women and men

    Female participants were better represented than in SURMOUNT-1; no significant sex interaction.

  • Region / Hispanic ethnicity (60% Hispanic or Latino): Weight loss and A1c reduction broadly consistent across regions

    SURMOUNT-2 is one of the most diverse phase-3 GLP-1 obesity trials by ethnicity, owing to enrollment across Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Russia, Taiwan, and the United States.

  • Background diabetes therapy (metformin alone vs combination): Weight loss and A1c benefits observed regardless of background regimen

    Insulin users were excluded; the regimen-by-treatment interaction was not significant.

Clinical significance

SURMOUNT-2 is the trial that turned tirzepatide into a credible single-agent for the most common high-acuity GLP-1 referral pattern — obesity plus type 2 diabetes. Before this trial, the field worked from the assumption that GLP-1 weight loss is roughly 25-30% smaller in people with T2D than in non-diabetic adults (the gap between STEP-1 and STEP-2 for semaglutide). Tirzepatide 15 mg in SURMOUNT-2 produced 14.7% weight loss, only about 6 percentage points below SURMOUNT-1's 20.9% — and paired that with a 2.22-point HbA1c reduction that exceeds essentially every comparator class. The result directly supports the FDA's positioning of Zepbound for the obesity-plus-T2D population and, alongside SURPASS-2, makes tirzepatide unique among GLP-1-pathway drugs in having pivotal weight-loss data in adults with diabetes as well as without it. For clinicians choosing between Mounjaro (T2D label) and Zepbound (obesity label) in a patient with both, SURMOUNT-2 is the trial that establishes Zepbound dosing (10 mg or 15 mg) as the weight-loss-oriented choice while either brand uses the same molecule.

Frequently Asked Questions

References

  1. 1.Garvey WT, Frias JP, Jastreboff AM, le Roux CW, Sattar N, Aizenberg D, Mao H, Zhang S, Ahmad NN, Bunck MC, Benabbad I, Zhang XM; SURMOUNT-2 investigators. Tirzepatide once weekly for the treatment of obesity in people with type 2 diabetes (SURMOUNT-2): a double-blind, randomised, multicentre, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial. Lancet. 2023. PMID: 37385275.
  2. 2.Eli Lilly and Company. A Study of Tirzepatide (LY3298176) in Participants With Type 2 Diabetes Who Have Obesity or Are Overweight (SURMOUNT-2) — Study Results. ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04657003. 2024. https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04657003?tab=results
  3. 3.U.S. Food and Drug Administration. FDA Approves New Medication for Chronic Weight Management (Zepbound, tirzepatide). FDA Press Announcement, November 8, 2023. 2023. https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-approves-new-medication-chronic-weight-management
  4. 4.Davies M, Færch L, Jeppesen OK, Pakseresht A, Pedersen SD, Perreault L, Rosenstock J, Shimomura I, Viljoen A, Wadden TA, Lingvay I; STEP 2 Study Group. Semaglutide 2·4 mg once a week in adults with overweight or obesity, and type 2 diabetes (STEP 2): a randomised, double-blind, double-dummy, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial. Lancet. 2021. PMID: 33667417.
  5. 5.Frías JP, Davies MJ, Rosenstock J, Pérez Manghi FC, Fernández Landó L, Bergman BK, Liu B, Cui X, Brown K; SURPASS-2 Investigators. Tirzepatide versus Semaglutide Once Weekly in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes. N Engl J Med. 2021. PMID: 34170647.
  6. 6.Jastreboff AM, Aronne LJ, Ahmad NN, et al.; SURMOUNT-1 Investigators. Tirzepatide Once Weekly for the Treatment of Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2022. PMID: 35658024.

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