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AMPLITUDE-O trial deep-dive: efpeglenatide CV outcomes in T2D (Gerstein 2021 NEJM)

Last verified 2026-05-28 · Phase 3 · Primary completion December 2020; results published NEJM September 2021. Trial record subsequently marked Terminated on ClinicalTrials.gov after Sanofi discontinued the efpeglenatide development program; the drug was never submitted for FDA or EMA approval. · NCT03496298

By Eli Marsden · Founding Editor
Editorially reviewed & fact-checked against primary sources · How we verify contentLast reviewed

AMPLITUDE-O (Effect of Efpeglenatide on Cardiovascular Outcomes) was a multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled, event-driven phase 3 trial sponsored by Sanofi and run at 344 sites across 28 countries. Investigators randomized 4,076 adults with type 2 diabetes and either a history of cardiovascular disease or current kidney disease (eGFR 25.0 to 59.9 mL/min/1.73 m²) plus at least one additional cardiovascular risk factor to weekly subcutaneous efpeglenatide 4 mg, efpeglenatide 6 mg, or volume-matched placebo in a 1:1:1 design, stratified by baseline SGLT2-inhibitor use. The primary endpoint was the first occurrence of a three-point major adverse cardiovascular event composite — nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or death from cardiovascular or undetermined causes. Median follow-up was 1.81 years, the shortest of any positive GLP-1 CVOT to date. Results published by Gerstein and colleagues in the New England Journal of Medicine on September 2, 2021 reported a hazard ratio of 0.73 for the primary endpoint — the first positive cardiovascular outcomes trial for an exendin-based, structurally non-human GLP-1 receptor agonist and the validation that the cardioprotective class effect extends beyond the human-GLP-1 backbone shared by liraglutide, dulaglutide, and semaglutide.

Enrollment
4,076
Duration
Median follow-up 1.81 years; trial was event-driven and stopped after the pre-specified MACE accrual was reached
Drug
Efpeglenatide 4 mg and 6 mg (weekly subcutaneous)
Population
Adults with type 2 diabetes and either a history of cardiovascular disease (myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, unstable angina with electrocardiographic changes, myocardial ischemia on imaging or stress test, or coronary, carotid, or peripheral arterial revascularization) or current kidney disease defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate of 25.0 to 59.9 mL/min/1.73 m² plus at least one additional cardiovascular risk factor. Per the NEJM publication: mean age 64.5 years, 33% female, mean HbA1c 8.9%, mean BMI 32.7 kg/m², mean diabetes duration 15.4 years. 89.6% had established cardiovascular disease at randomization. Background therapy included metformin (74.4%), insulin (61.7%), SGLT2 inhibitors (15.2% — the highest baseline SGLT2 use of any GLP-1 CVOT at that point), and antihypertensives, statins, and antiplatelet agents per standard of care.

Primary endpoint

Three-point MACE: first occurrence of nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or death from cardiovascular or undetermined causes (time-to-first-event, pooled efpeglenatide 4 mg + 6 mg vs placebo)

Treatment arm

189 of 2,717 (7.0%); 3.9 events per 100 person-years

Comparator

125 of 1,359 (9.2%); 5.3 events per 100 person-years

Treatment difference: Hazard ratio 0.73 (95% CI 0.58 to 0.92); P<0.001 for noninferiority; P=0.007 for superiority

27% relative reduction in three-point MACE with pooled efpeglenatide vs placebo over a median 1.81 years — the shortest follow-up among positive GLP-1 CVOTs and the first positive cardiovascular outcomes result for an exendin-based (non-human GLP-1 backbone) receptor agonist. The pooled-arms design was pre-specified as the primary regulatory question; both noninferiority and superiority were met.

Secondary endpoints

EndpointTreatmentComparatorDifference
Three-point MACE — 6 mg dose vs placebo (pre-specified dose-comparison secondary, reported in detail by Gerstein 2023 Circulation)

35% relative reduction in MACE with the 6 mg dose alone — the larger of the two dose effects and the driver of the pooled-arm result.

84 of 1,358 (6.2%) on efpeglenatide 6 mg125 of 1,359 (9.2%) on placeboHazard ratio 0.65 (95% CI 0.50 to 0.86); P=0.0027
Three-point MACE — 4 mg dose vs placebo (pre-specified dose-comparison secondary)

Directional 18% reduction at the 4 mg dose that did not reach statistical significance on its own. Combined with the 6 mg result, the trial reported a clear dose-response across primary and all secondary outcomes (P for trend ≤0.018 across endpoints).

105 of 1,359 (7.7%) on efpeglenatide 4 mg125 of 1,359 (9.2%) on placeboHazard ratio 0.82 (95% CI 0.63 to 1.06); P=0.14
Composite renal outcome: sustained new macroalbuminuria, ≥40% decline in eGFR, or renal failure (pre-specified secondary, pooled efpeglenatide vs placebo)

32% relative reduction in the kidney composite — one of the largest renal-protection signals reported in a primary GLP-1 CVOT publication, foreshadowing the dedicated semaglutide kidney trial FLOW that reported in 2024.

353 of 2,717 (13.0%)250 of 1,359 (18.4%)Hazard ratio 0.68 (95% CI 0.57 to 0.79); P<0.001
Composite renal outcome — 6 mg dose vs placebo (dose-comparison secondary)

37% relative reduction in the kidney composite at the higher dose. The dose-response on renal endpoints was steeper than on MACE.

Efpeglenatide 6 mg armPlacebo armHazard ratio 0.63 (95% CI not reported in abstract); P<0.0001
Composite renal outcome — 4 mg dose vs placebo (dose-comparison secondary)

27% relative reduction at the lower dose — formally significant on the kidney composite even though the same dose was not formally significant on MACE alone.

Efpeglenatide 4 mg armPlacebo armHazard ratio 0.73 (95% CI not reported in abstract); P=0.0009
Expanded cardiovascular composite: MACE, coronary revascularization, or hospitalization for unstable angina — 6 mg dose vs placebo

27% relative reduction in the broader CV composite at the high dose. The 4 mg dose showed a directional 15% reduction (HR 0.85, P=0.17).

Efpeglenatide 6 mg armPlacebo armHazard ratio 0.73; P=0.011
MACE or any-cause death — 6 mg dose vs placebo

33% relative reduction at the high dose. The 4 mg dose showed a directional 19% reduction (HR 0.81, P=0.08).

Efpeglenatide 6 mg armPlacebo armHazard ratio 0.67; P=0.0021
Kidney function outcome: sustained ≥40% eGFR decline, renal failure, or death — 6 mg dose vs placebo

39% relative reduction in the harder kidney-function-plus-mortality composite at the high dose. The 4 mg dose was neutral on this endpoint (HR 0.97, P=0.83) — the only secondary outcome where the lower dose showed no signal.

Efpeglenatide 6 mg armPlacebo armHazard ratio 0.61; P=0.0072
Composite of MACE, any death, heart-failure hospitalization, or kidney function outcome — 6 mg dose vs placebo

37% relative reduction in the broadest pre-specified composite at the high dose. The 4 mg dose showed a directional 19% reduction that fell just outside formal significance (HR 0.81, P=0.067).

Efpeglenatide 6 mg armPlacebo armHazard ratio 0.63; P=0.0002
Dose-response trend across all primary and secondary outcomes

Statistically significant graded dose-response — the AMPLITUDE-O dose-exploration analysis (Gerstein 2023, Circulation, PMID 36802715) is the cleanest evidence in the GLP-1 class that titrating to higher doses may amplify both cardiovascular and renal benefit, a hypothesis that informed later high-dose strategies for semaglutide and tirzepatide.

Placebo < 4 mg < 6 mg ordering across endpointsReference (placebo)P for trend ≤0.018 across all primary and secondary cardiovascular and kidney outcomes

Adverse events

EventTreatment rateComparator rate
Diarrhea, constipation, nausea, vomiting, or bloating (category-level GI events)

The primary NEJM publication reports these gastrointestinal adverse events as the dominant tolerability signal, qualitatively consistent with the rest of the GLP-1 class. Numerical AE breakdowns by arm are in the NEJM full text and supplement (not freely accessible) — for verbatim AE percentages, see Gerstein et al., NEJM 2021;385:896-907 directly.

Higher with efpeglenatide than placebo (category-level finding reported in the NEJM abstract; arm-specific percentages reported in the full text are behind the NEJM paywall and not reproduced here)Lower than the efpeglenatide arms
Acute pancreatitis (adjudicated)

Consistent with the broader GLP-1 class CVOT pattern; no specific pancreatitis signal flagged in the primary publication's safety summary.

No imbalance versus placebo reported in the NEJM publicationReference
Pancreatic cancer (adjudicated)

No pancreatic-cancer safety signal reported over the 1.8-year median follow-up. Short observation window relative to LEADER (3.8 years) limits inference.

No imbalance versus placebo reported in the NEJM publicationReference
Diabetic retinopathy complications

Contrasts with the well-known retinopathy signal in SUSTAIN-6 for semaglutide. Short follow-up and a different molecular backbone may both contribute.

No retinopathy safety signal reported in the NEJM publicationReference
Discontinuation due to adverse events

Pattern of discontinuation driven primarily by gastrointestinal intolerance, consistent with the class. For arm-specific numbers, see NEJM 2021;385:896-907 directly.

Higher with efpeglenatide than placebo per the NEJM publication; specific percentages in the full text and supplementLower than the efpeglenatide arms

Subgroup analyses

  • Established cardiovascular disease at baseline (89.6% of cohort): Treatment effect on primary MACE consistent with the overall result; the trial enrolled predominantly secondary-prevention participants by design

    AMPLITUDE-O had the highest proportion of established CVD at entry among the major GLP-1 CVOTs, which contributed to the high event rate per person-year and allowed the trial to reach its event target in 1.8 years.

  • Baseline SGLT2-inhibitor use (15.2% — randomization was stratified by this variable): Cardiovascular benefit of efpeglenatide consistent in participants on and off baseline SGLT2 inhibitors (no significant interaction in the primary publication)

    First positive GLP-1 CVOT with prospectively stratified SGLT2 background; supported the now-standard combined GLP-1 plus SGLT2 cardio-renal strategy for high-risk T2D.

  • Baseline kidney disease (eGFR 25.0 to 59.9 mL/min/1.73 m²): Cardiovascular and kidney benefits observed across the reduced-eGFR subgroup; arm-specific subgroup effects detailed in the Gerstein 2024 Diabetes Obes Metab analysis (PMID 38116691)

    AMPLITUDE-O is one of the few GLP-1 CVOTs to enroll participants with eGFR as low as 25 mL/min/1.73 m², extending the GLP-1 evidence base into stage 3b-4 chronic kidney disease.

  • Dose comparison (4 mg vs 6 mg): Graded dose-response: 6 mg HR 0.65 for MACE, 4 mg HR 0.82 for MACE; P for trend ≤0.018 across primary and secondary outcomes

    The cleanest GLP-1 CVOT evidence that within-class titration to higher exposure amplifies cardiovascular and renal benefit. Detailed in Gerstein 2023 Circulation (PMID 36802715).

  • Sex (33% female): Treatment effect on primary MACE consistent across women and men in the primary publication

    Underrepresentation of women is typical of CVOTs in established cardiovascular disease populations.

Clinical significance

AMPLITUDE-O sits in an unusual position in the GLP-1 evidence base: a fully positive cardiovascular outcomes trial for a drug that was never marketed. The trial answered three questions the rest of the class had left open. First, it showed that an exendin-based GLP-1 receptor agonist — structurally derived from a lizard peptide rather than the human GLP-1 backbone of liraglutide, dulaglutide, and semaglutide — produces a MACE reduction of the same magnitude as the human-backbone agents, removing the molecular-backbone variable as an explanation for the class effect. Second, the trial reported the most explicit dose-response analysis in any GLP-1 CVOT, with the 6 mg arm driving a 35% MACE reduction while the 4 mg arm landed at 18% directional, and a 32% pooled-arm reduction in the kidney composite — evidence that informed the field's later move toward higher-dose semaglutide and tirzepatide. Third, AMPLITUDE-O reached its event target in 1.81 years of median follow-up, the shortest of any positive GLP-1 CVOT, because the cohort was enriched for established cardiovascular disease (89.6%) and concurrent kidney disease — a design choice that shortened the time-to-evidence but also narrowed the generalizability to lower-risk patients. Sanofi nonetheless discontinued efpeglenatide before any regulatory submission, and the drug has not been resurrected by its originator Hanmi Pharmaceutical or any subsequent licensee, leaving AMPLITUDE-O as a load-bearing class-effect paper that is cited far more often than the drug it tested is dispensed.

Frequently Asked Questions

References

  1. 1.Gerstein HC, Sattar N, Rosenstock J, et al.; AMPLITUDE-O Trial Investigators. Cardiovascular and Renal Outcomes with Efpeglenatide in Type 2 Diabetes. N Engl J Med. 2021. PMID: 34215025.
  2. 2.Gerstein HC, Branch K, Heenan L, et al.; AMPLITUDE-O Trial Investigators. Exploring the Relationship Between Efpeglenatide Dose and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes: Insights From the AMPLITUDE-O Trial. Circulation. 2023. PMID: 36802715.
  3. 3.Gerstein HC, Sattar N, Rosenstock J, et al. Design and baseline characteristics of the AMPLITUDE-O cardiovascular outcomes trial of efpeglenatide, a weekly glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist. Diabetes Obes Metab. 2021. PMID: 33026143.
  4. 4.Gerstein HC, Colhoun HM, Dagenais GR, et al.; AMPLITUDE-O Trial Investigators. Cardiovascular and renal outcomes with varying degrees of kidney disease in high-risk people with type 2 diabetes: An epidemiological analysis of data from the AMPLITUDE-O trial. Diabetes Obes Metab. 2024. PMID: 38116691.
  5. 5.Sanofi. Effect of Efpeglenatide on Cardiovascular Outcomes (AMPLITUDE-O). ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03496298. 2021. https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03496298

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